Matteo Arnaldi vs Jan Lennard Struff — Shanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
Jan Lennard Struff
GER21
Jan Lennard Struff
#74ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Arnaldi M.
6-3 3-6 6-4
Struff J.
Arnaldi M.
6362
Struff J.
3641

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-3 3-6 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35. Matteo Arnaldi claimed a first win over Jan Lennard Struff in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Arnaldi closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-09StuttgartR32grassJan Lennard Struff6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Struff J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Struff J.
23
Serve
36
22
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Arnaldi M.Struff J.
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.8
8.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 190). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Arnaldi M.Struff J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
61
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
51
21
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Struff J.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+98 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1634
5.4Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1694
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.1
Surface form
5.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.7
Minutes 14d
6.8
0.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arnaldi M.Struff J.
Freshness·Dominant
94
53

Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%
Final
Hurkacz H.[16]
Rublev A.[5]
6-33-67-68
Semi-finals
Rublev A.[5]
Dimitrov G.[18]
7-676-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Korda S.[26]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Korda S.[26]
Shelton B.[19]
6-7106-27-66
Dimitrov G.[18]
Jarry N.[22]
7-626-4
Rublev A.[5]
Humbert U.[32]
6-26-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Marozsan F.
4-66-16-3
R16
Humbert U.[32]
Wolf J.
6-16-2
Hurkacz H.[16]
Zhang Z.
7-664-67-64
Korda S.[26]
Cerundolo F.[20]
7-57-66
Shelton B.[19]
Sinner J.[6]
2-66-37-65
Dimitrov G.[18]
Alcaraz C.[1]
5-76-26-4
Jarry N.[22]
Schwartzman D.
6-35-76-3
Rublev A.[5]
Paul T.[12]
7-57-5
Marozsan F.
Ruud C.[8]
7-633-66-4
R32
Dimitrov G.[18]
Khachanov K.[13]
7-666-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Evans D.[30]
7-616-4
Jarry N.[22]
Sonego L.
7-646-2
Schwartzman D.
Fritz T.[7]
6-43-67-65
Humbert U.[32]
Tsitsipas S.[4]
6-43-67-5
Wolf J.
Arnaldi M.
2-66-37-64
Paul T.[12]
Fils A.
6-46-776-4
Rublev A.[5]
Mannarino A.[31]
6-36-0
Ruud C.[8]
Eubanks C.[29]
6-46-2
Marozsan F.
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Hsu Y.
6-46-4
Zhang Z.
Nakashima B.
7-626-2
Sinner J.[6]
Baez S.[25]
3-66-36-2
Shelton B.[19]
Safiullin R.
3-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.[20]
Fucsovics M.
3-66-47-5
Korda S.[26]
Medvedev D.[2]
7-686-2
R64
Evans D.[30]
Kukushkin M.
6-23-0
Khachanov K.[13]
Zhukayev B.
7-614-66-2
Mannarino A.[31]
Tseng C.
6-26-2
Lajovic D.
Griekspoor T.[23]
6-43-2
Zhang Z.
Etcheverry T.[28]
4-66-36-4
Nakashima B.
Rune H.[3]
6-06-2
Cerundolo F.[20]
Mcdonald M.
7-647-65
Korda S.[26]
Yunchaokete B.
6-16-4
Humbert U.[32]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-41-66-2
Dimitrov G.[18]
Vukic A.
6-46-3
Sonego L.
Tiafoe F.[10]
2-66-26-3
Jarry N.[22]
Atmane T.
7-56-2
Schwartzman D.
Lehecka J.[27]
6-43-66-2
Fritz T.[7]
Watanuki Y.
7-626-766-4
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Hijikata R.
6-46-2
Arnaldi M.
Struff J.[21]
6-33-66-4
Wolf J.
Norrie C.[15]
6-35-77-64
Paul T.[12]
Ofner S.
6-36-0
Rublev A.[5]
Halys Q.
6-47-5
Ruud C.[8]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-0
Eubanks C.[29]
Hanfmann Y.
4-66-36-2
Marozsan F.
De Minaur A.[11]
6-37-5
Hsu Y.
Musetti L.[17]
6-36-4
Sinner J.[6]
Giron M.
7-676-2
Baez S.[25]
Sweeny D.
6-26-4
Shelton B.[19]
Munar J.
6-46-4
Safiullin R.
Zverev A.[9]
6-36-1
Fucsovics M.
Auger Aliassime F.[14]
7-634-66-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Garin C.
6-36-3
Hurkacz H.[16]
Kokkinakis T.
7-656-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Barrere G.
6-27-5
Fils A.
Davidovich Fokina A.[24]
6-27-5
R128
Ofner S.
Varillas J.
7-637-66
Yunchaokete B.
Kecmanovic M.
6-766-22-1
Fucsovics M.
Yevseyev D.
6-46-2
Hijikata R.
Djere L.
7-647-5
Atmane T.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-1
Barrere G.
Borges N.
6-26-2
Kukushkin M.
Muller A.
6-766-36-2
Vukic A.
Carballes Baena R.
6-47-67
Zhukayev B.
Napolitano S.
7-57-5
Schwartzman D.
Van Assche L.
5-76-36-2
Watanuki Y.
Shang J.
7-674-66-4
Arnaldi M.
Popyrin A.
4-66-36-4
Wolf J.
Cachin P.
3-66-36-4
Fils A.
Kotov P.
6-16-4
Halys Q.
Karatsev A.
7-643-66-2
Nishioka Y.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-62
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
6-46-7106-3
Lajovic D.
Wawrinka S.
6-47-67
Marozsan F.
Rinderknech A.
7-666-2
Kokkinakis T.
Fognini F.
6-26-4
Hsu Y.
Purcell M.
7-654-66-4
Zhang Z.
Gasquet R.
6-16-2
Nakashima B.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-17-63
Sweeny D.
Daniel T.
6-26-3
Safiullin R.
Murray A.
6-36-2
Garin C.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-610
Sonego L.
Sekulic P.
6-36-2
Mcdonald M.
Moutet C.
6-26-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Oconnell C.
6-26-726-4
Munar J.
Te R.
6-26-4
Tseng C.
Shevchenko A.
3-66-36-2
Giron M.
Galan D.
6-46-2