Alexei Popyrin vs Roman SafiullinRome Masters Round of 32

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#103ATP
1741ELO
1727Clay ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
#96ATP
1750ELO
1754Clay ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Popyrin A.
7-5 7-5
Safiullin R.
Popyrin A.
772
Safiullin R.
550

Alexei Popyrin defeated Roman Safiullin 7-5 7-5 in the Rome Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Roman Safiullin came in ranked #96, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Roman Safiullin in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR64hardRoman Safiullin6-7(4) 6-3 7-5
2024-01-01BrisbaneR16hardRoman Safiullin6-7(9) 6-4 7-6(3)
2022-02-14MarseilleR32hardRoman Safiullin6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve advantage — Safiullin R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.8
6.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (171 vs 180). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
68
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
6
44
Deciding sets·Even
75
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1727
Surface ELO
5.6+28 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1750
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
6.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
5.0
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
78

Popyrin A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Safiullin R.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%