Roman Safiullin vs Alexei PopyrinMiami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Safiullin R.
6-7 6-3 7-5
Popyrin A.
Safiullin R.
64672
Popyrin A.
77351

Roman Safiullin defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-7 6-3 7-5 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Roman Safiullin came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Roman Safiullin extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-01BrisbaneR16hardRoman Safiullin6-7(9) 6-4 7-6(3)
2023-05-08Rome MastersR32clayAlexei Popyrin7-5 7-5
2022-02-14MarseilleR32hardRoman Safiullin6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Safiullin R.Popyrin A.
Serve
40
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
9.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (54 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
68
59
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
44
6
Deciding sets·Even
76
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+23 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1681
5.6Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1741
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.7
Surface form
3.3
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
5.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
70
97

Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d) · Popyrin A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%