Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann | Stockholm Round of 32

UMPIRY

StockholmR32HardMon 9 Nov · 12:30COURT 1 · Next on

Alex Michelsen(6)ATP #35 · USA78%

VSClear favourite · Michelsen A.

Yannick HanfmannATP #58 · GER22%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Michelsen A.

78%22%

Clear edge for Michelsen A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Michelsen A.6.0/10

Even match

Hanfmann Y.5.6/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+89 Hard Elo edgeSupports Michelsen A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1825Supports Michelsen A.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Hanfmann Y.

Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO2 040

Hard ELO1 913

Last 104–6

Age22

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $5.0M2026 $1.1M

ELO1 914

Hard ELO1 757

Last 104–6

Age34

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $5.0M2026 $1.1M

Alex Michelsen faces Yannick Hanfmann in the Stockholm round of 32 on hard. Alex Michelsen holds the paper edge — ranked #35, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Alex Michelsen 115 games in 14 days, Yannick Hanfmann 98.
Serve & return: Yannick Hanfmann leads on Serve Rating (52), Alex Michelsen on Return Rating (45).
Head-to-head: Alex Michelsen leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Halle 2024.

Common opponents

9 shared · last 12 months

Michelsen A. and Hanfmann Y. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Michelsen A. went 5–7 (42%) against them, Hanfmann Y. 0–9 (0%). Michelsen A. came out better against 4 of 9 comparable opponents, Hanfmann Y. against 0.

5–742%Michelsen A. · better vs 4Record vs common opponents0–90%Hanfmann Y. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

17–18Sets2–21

175–165Games83–140

0–5Tiebreaks1–2

2–4Deciding sets0–1

vs Alcaraz C.#3L6-7(1) 6-4 1-6Tokyo · hardL6-7 3-6 2-6Australian Open · hard
vs Fils A.#7L4-6 6-7(12)European Open - Brussels · hardL6-7(5) 1-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Tiafoe F.#8L7-5 6-3 5-7 3-6 6-7(6)US Open · hardL4-6 4-6Shanghai Masters · hard

Show 6 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Jodar R.#10L6-4 3-6 3-6Roland Garros · clayL4-6 6-4 1-6Miami Masters · hard
vs Cerundolo F.#20W6-3 6-4Montreal · hardL1-6 5-7Madrid Masters · clay
vs Khachanov K.#25L6-4 4-6 3-6 7-5 3-6Australian Open · hardL3-6 4-6 4-6Wimbledon · grass
vs Tabilo A.#30W3-6 6-3 6-4Miami Masters · hardL3-6 2-6 7-6(7) 3-6US Open · hard
vs Struff J.#39W6-1 3-6 6-1Montreal · hardL4-6 3-6Basel · hard
vs Bellucci M.#66W6-2 6-1Miami Masters · hardL5-7 2-6Stuttgart · grass

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Michelsen A. leads 1–0

Michelsen A.June 2024HalleGrass6-3 6-2

Evidence

Michelsen A.Hanfmann Y.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–64–6

Season win rate62% (39–24)53% (29–26)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO20401914

Hard-court ELO19131757

Serve vs returnLast 63 vs 50 matches

1st-serve points won72%75%

Return points won38%34%

Aces / match6.08.9

ClutchLast 63 vs 50 matches

Break points saved65%61%

When it starts

COURT 1 · Next on · Followed by

1This match: Michelsen A. v Hanfmann Y.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 1 · 12:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast5°C · Overcast

Wind15 km/h

Humidity76%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Michelsen A.Hanfmann Y.

4Days since last match7

2Matches · 7 days1

53Games · 7 days31

4Matches · 14 days4

115Games · 14 days98

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann — Stockholm Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/hanfmann-vs-michelsen-stockholm-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).