Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan Lennard Struff

UMPIRY

BaselR64HardWed 28 Oct · 10:00

Yannick HanfmannATP #59 · GER49%

VSToss-up

Jan Lennard StruffATP #47 · GER51%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Hanfmann Y.6.5/10

Marginal edge

Struff J.5.8/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+87 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Hanfmann Y.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1781Against the prediction · Hanfmann Y.

Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Hanfmann Y.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Hanfmann Y.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 928

Hard ELO1 770

Last 104–6

Age34

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $5.0M2026 $1.1M

ELO1 973

Hard ELO1 758

Last 106–4

Age36

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $13.6M2026 $1.2M

Yannick Hanfmann faces Jan Lennard Struff in the Basel round of 64 on hard. Yannick Hanfmann is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage — but Jan Lennard Struff arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on hard to Yannick Hanfmann's 4 of 10.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Yannick Hanfmann 77 games in 14 days, Jan Lennard Struff 131.
Head-to-head: Yannick Hanfmann leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Cancun CH 2025.
Surface form: Yannick Hanfmann 4 of 10, Jan Lennard Struff 6 of 10 on hard recently — Jan Lennard Struff the sharper of late.

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Hanfmann Y. and Struff J. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Hanfmann Y. went 5–4 (56%) against them, Struff J. 3–4 (43%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

5–456%Hanfmann Y. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents3–443%Struff J. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

11–12Sets11–13

113–119Games116–130

2–2Tiebreaks4–1

3–0Deciding sets2–2

vs Fils A.#8L6-7(5) 1-6Cincinnati · hardW6-4 6-7(7) 7-6(5)European Open - Brussels · hard
vs Cerundolo F.#19L1-6 5-7Madrid Masters · clayL7-5 5-7 6-4 2-6 3-6US Open · hard
vs Tabilo A.#30L3-6 2-6 7-6(7) 3-6US Open · hardL3-6 4-6Cincinnati · hard

Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Baez S.#49W6-3 6-1Kitzbuhel · clayW6-1 7-6 4-6 2-6 7-5Wimbledon · grass
vs Borges N.#53L4-6 2-6Montreal · hardL4-6 5-7Mallorca · grass
vs Kopriva V.#64W6-2 5-7 7-5Athens · hardL6-4 2-6 6-2 3-6 1-6Australian Open · hard
vs Giron M.#88W6-2 5-7 6-4Basel · hardW7-6(3) 7-6(3)European Open - Brussels · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Hanfmann Y. leads 1–0

Hanfmann Y.August 2025Cancun CHHard3-6 7-5 6-1

Evidence

Hanfmann Y.Struff J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–66–4

Season win rate54% (28–24)48% (23–25)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19281973

Hard-court ELO17701758

Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 42 matches

1st-serve points won75%76%

Return points won35%34%

Aces / match9.110.8

ClutchLast 47 vs 42 matches

Break points saved62%65%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast12°C · Overcast

Wind11 km/h

Humidity85%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Hanfmann Y.Struff J.

1Days since last match1

3Matches · 7 days5

77Games · 7 days131

3Matches · 14 days5

77Games · 14 days131

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan Lennard Struff — Basel Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/hanfmann-vs-struff-basel-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).