Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann — Stuttgart Round of 16

Stuttgart · ATP · Round of 16

ITA

Mattia Bellucci

#78ATP

1700ELO

1624Grass ELO

$414kYTD

$2.3MCAREER

25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WLLLWLWLLL

—

Sets

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 · 11:00

grass

CENTER COURT · 1st on

GER

Yannick Hanfmann

#59ATP

1783ELO

1644Grass ELO

$436kYTD

$4.3MCAREER

34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWLLWLLW

Mattia Bellucci faces Yannick Hanfmann in the Stuttgart round of 16 on grass. Yannick Hanfmann holds the paper edge — ranked #59, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Last match: Yannick Hanfmann won all two sets in tiebreaks against Aleksandar Kovacevic.
Head-to-head: Yannick Hanfmann leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Roland Garros 2023.
Stage: Yannick Hanfmann defends last year's round of 32.
Fatigue load: Mattia Bellucci carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:20 UTC

Bellucci M.36%

Hanfmann Y.64%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Hanfmann Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Bellucci M.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Hanfmann Y.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.8Grass Elo 1624

Surface ELO

5.2+20 Grass Elo edge

4.0Overall Elo 1700

ELO gap

6.0Overall Elo 1783

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

7.07 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.37 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Country comfort

7.6Home country · 9/15 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.