Alex Michelsen vs Mattia BellucciMiami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Michelsen A.
6-2 6-1
Bellucci M.
Michelsen A.
662
Bellucci M.
210

Alex Michelsen defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-2 6-1 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Alex Michelsen extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29WashingtonR32hardAlex Michelsen6-3 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Bellucci M.
34
Serve
0
46
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.2
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
60
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Dominant
46
10
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+132 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1678
6.8Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1720
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.7
Surface form
8.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
4.2
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.3
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
67
100

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Bellucci M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%