Alex Michelsen vs Mattia BellucciWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
hard
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Michelsen A.
6-3 7-6
Bellucci M.
Michelsen A.
6772
Bellucci M.
3610

Alex Michelsen defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-3 7-6 in the Washington round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alex Michelsen extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR128hardAlex Michelsen6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Bellucci M.
34
Serve
0
46
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (157 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
60
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Dominant
46
10
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
81
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+132 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1678
6.8Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1720
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
4.5
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.4
Country comfort
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
70
100

Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Bellucci M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 63%