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Harriet Dart vs Polina Kudermetova — Chennai Open - Chennai Round of 32

Chennai Open - ChennaiR32HardMon 2 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
55%45%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Dart H.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Kudermetova P.6.2/10
Even match
Why
Surface+66 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Kudermetova P.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1727Against the prediction · Kudermetova P.
Recent run6-match win streakSupports Dart H.
Long matches5 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Kudermetova P.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 824
Hard ELO1 776
Last 109–1
Age30
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $570K
ELO1 815
Hard ELO1 696
Last 105–5
Age23
Height172 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $426K

Harriet Dart faces Polina Kudermetova in the Chennai Open - Chennai round of 32 on hard. Polina Kudermetova is the paper favourite — ranked #91, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage — but Harriet Dart arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on hard to Polina Kudermetova's 5 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

9 shared · last 12 months

Dart H. and Kudermetova P. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Dart H. went 5–4 (56%) against them, Kudermetova P. 3–6 (33%). Dart H. came out better against 2 of 9 comparable opponents, Kudermetova P. against 0.

5–456%Dart H. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents3–633%Kudermetova P. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
12–11Sets7–13
102–105Games87–102
0–0Tiebreaks1–3
3–2Deciding sets1–1
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Dart H.Kudermetova P.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss9–1 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate65% (42–23) (ahead)63% (40–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1824 (ahead)1815
Hard-court ELO1776 (ahead)1696
Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 63 matches
1st-serve points won65%66% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)45%
Aces / match2.13.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 58 vs 63 matches
Break points saved51%53% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast26°C · Drizzle
Wind14 km/h
Humidity91%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Dart H.Kudermetova P.
1Days since last match5 — fresher
5Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
127Games · 7 days16 — fresher
8Matches · 14 days4 — fresher
215Games · 14 days60 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Harriet Dart vs Polina Kudermetova — Chennai Open - Chennai Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-02/dart-vs-kudermetova-chennai-open-chennai-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 2 November 2026).