Polina Kudermetova vs Yue YuanCanberra 125 Quarter-final

Canberra 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#113WTA
1727ELO
1646Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#121WTA
1629ELO
1610Hard ELO
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
Kudermetova P.
6-1 6-0
Yuan Y.
Kudermetova P.
662
Yuan Y.
10

Polina Kudermetova defeated Yue Yuan 6-1 6-0 in the Canberra 125 quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Polina Kudermetova came in ranked #113, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Polina Kudermetova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-12s HertogenboschR32grassPolina Kudermetova6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kudermetova P.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Yuan Y.

Yuan Y.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Kudermetova P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kudermetova P.Yuan Y.
Serve
30
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
51
64
Break points saved·Even
77
81
Break points won·Clear edge
96
77
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
60
Tiebreaks·
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.1+36 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1610
5.6Overall Elo 1727
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1629
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
3.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Kudermetova P.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast