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Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR16HardWed 28 Oct · ~16:00Center Court · After 2 matches
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
44%56%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Dart H.6.1/10
Even match
Tjen J.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+104 Hard Elo edgeSupports Tjen J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1658Supports Tjen J.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Dart H.
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Tjen J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 801
Hard ELO1 754
Last 107–3
Age30
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $570K
ELO1 819
Hard ELO1 749
Last 105–5
Age24
Height171 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.6M2026 $1.2M

Harriet Dart faces Janice Tjen in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 16 on hard. Janice Tjen is the paper favourite — ranked #47, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage — but Harriet Dart arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Janice Tjen's 5 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

5 shared · last 12 months

Dart H. and Tjen J. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Dart H. went 4–3 (57%) against them, Tjen J. 1–6 (14%). Dart H. came out better against 2 of 5 comparable opponents, Tjen J. against 0.

4–357%Dart H. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents1–614%Tjen J. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
10–9Sets2–12
89–87Games51–80
0–2Tiebreaks0–3
3–2Deciding sets0–0
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Dart H.Tjen J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate62% (38–23) (ahead)37% (17–29)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18011819 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1754 (ahead)1749
Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 45 matches
1st-serve points won65%67% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)39%
Aces / match1.94.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 55 vs 45 matches
Break points saved51%52% (ahead)

When it starts

Center Court · After 2 matches · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Center Court · ~16:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast30°C · Overcast
Wind8 km/h
Humidity41%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Dart H.Tjen J.
1Days since last match8 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
73Games · 7 days0 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days3 — fresher
145Games · 14 days61 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/dart-vs-tjen-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).