Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16
Why
Surface+462 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Yastremska D.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1792Against the prediction · Yastremska D.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Yastremska D.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Shi H.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 758
Hard ELO1 717
Last 107–3
Age21
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $264K2026 $75K
ELO1 834
Hard ELO1 703
Last 106–4
Age26
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $7.0M2026 $929K
Han Shi faces Dayana Yastremska in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 16 on hard. Dayana Yastremska holds the paper edge — ranked #97, a roughly 460-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Han Shi 86 games in 14 days, Dayana Yastremska 120.
- Win streak: Dayana Yastremska arrives on a 3-match winning run.
- Surface form: Han Shi 7 of 10, Dayana Yastremska 6 of 10 on hard recently — Han Shi the sharper of late.
Common opponents
3 shared · last 12 monthsShi H. and Yastremska D. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Shi H. went 2–1 (67%) against them, Yastremska D. 1–2 (33%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 1 better-results split).
2–167%Shi H. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents1–233%Yastremska D. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
4–3Sets3–4
36–31Games34–33
1–0Tiebreaks0–0
1–0Deciding sets0–1
Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.
vs Eala A.#19W4-6 6-3 6-3Wuhan · hardL5-7 6-4 5-7Indian Wells · hard
vs Fernandez L.#23L3-6 4-6Wuhan · hardW6-1 6-2Brisbane · hard
vs Rakhimova K.#66W7-6(2) 6-1Wuhan · hardL2-6 4-6Ningbo Open - Ningbo · hard
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Shi H.Yastremska D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate67% (53–26) (ahead)49% (22–23)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17581834 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1717 (ahead)1703
Serve vs returnLast 75 vs 45 matches
1st-serve points won63% (ahead)60%
Return points won48% (ahead)43%
Aces / match2.22.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 75 vs 45 matches
Break points saved55% (ahead)52%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/shi-vs-yastremska-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).