Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16
Why
Surface+103 Hard Elo edgeSupports Badosa P.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1780Supports Badosa P.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Badosa P.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 935
Hard ELO1 830
Last 106–4
Age28
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $10.1M2026 $788K
ELO1 854
Hard ELO1 644
Last 107–3
Age24
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $715K
Paula Badosa faces Sinja Kraus in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 16 on hard. Paula Badosa holds the paper edge — ranked #61, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Paula Badosa 28 games in 14 days, Sinja Kraus 94.
- Under pressure: Paula Badosa has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 87 vs Sinja Kraus's 56).
- Last match: Paula Badosa dropped just 5 games past Carol Young Suh Lee.
Common opponents
5 shared · last 12 monthsBadosa P. and Kraus S. faced 5 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Badosa P. went 2–4 (33%) against them, Kraus S. 3–3 (50%). Kraus S. came out better against 2 of 5 comparable opponents, Badosa P. against 0.
2–433%Badosa P. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents3–350%Kraus S. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
5–7Sets6–7
52–62Games52–62
1–1Tiebreaks0–0
0–1Deciding sets1–0
vs Kalinskaya A.#25L4-6 2-6Charleston · clayL4-6 1-6Bad Homburg · grass
vs Snigur D.#40L1-6s Hertogenbosch · grassL1-6 0-6Oeiras 125 Indoor 2 · hard
vs Udvardy P.#78W6-4 6-1Hamburg · clayW6-4 6-2Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou · hard
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- vs Selekhmeteva O.#120L4-6 4-6Australian Open · hardW6-4 4-6 6-3Oeiras 125 · clay
vs Grabher J.#122L6-7 6-4 0-6Madrid · clayW6-3 6-3Auckland · hard
Evidence
Badosa P.Kraus S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate58% (28–20)65% (51–28) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1935 (ahead)1854
Hard-court ELO1830 (ahead)1644
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 77 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)62%
Return points won45%47% (ahead)
Aces / match4.2 (ahead)1.5
ClutchLast 48 vs 77 matches
Break points saved56%56%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-28/badosa-vs-kraus-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 28 October 2026).