Paula Badosa vs Panna Udvardy — Hamburg Round of 16
Badosa P.
Paula Badosa faces Panna Udvardy in the Hamburg round of 16 on clay. Paula Badosa holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Badosa P. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Paula Badosa 198 games in 14 days, Panna Udvardy 96.
- Under pressure: Paula Badosa has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 88 vs Panna Udvardy's 39).
- Last match: Panna Udvardy dropped just 6 games past Elena Pridankina.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBadosa P.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 101 games (7d) · Udvardy P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Iasi | QF | clay | Paula Badosa | 4-6 6-7(2) |