Panna Udvardy vs Paula Badosa — Iasi Quarter-final
Udvardy P.
Panna Udvardy faces Paula Badosa in the Iasi quarter-final on clay. Panna Udvardy is the paper favourite — ranked #71 — but Paula Badosa arrives in form, winning all 4 of their last clay matches to Panna Udvardy's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Badosa P. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Panna Udvardy comes in with 2 days of rest and 28 games in 14d, vs Paula Badosa's 2 and 114.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Paula Badosa has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 93 vs 41).
- Last match: Panna Udvardy dropped the opening set before beating Katarzyna Kawa 1–6 7–5 6–2.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadUdvardy P.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Badosa P.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.