Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova

London · WTA · Round of 32

GBRWC

Harriet Dart

#160WTA

1620ELO

1552Grass ELO

29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWLWLWWWL

2 — 1

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 14:30

grass

COURT 5 · 1st on

RUS

Liudmila Samsonova

#35WTA

1805ELO

1747Grass ELO

$549kYTD

$8.5MCAREER

27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLWLWLWLL

Harriet Dart recovered from a set down to defeat Liudmila Samsonova 5-7 6-4 6-3 in the London round of 32.

Key context

Set 1, game 12: A 13-point game with four deuces went Liudmila Samsonova's way.
Set 3, game 3: Harriet Dart broke serve.
Pressure points: Harriet Dart converted 6 of 22 break points; Liudmila Samsonova converted 4 of 8 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC

Dart H.18%

Samsonova L.82%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Samsonova L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Dart H.

5.7

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Samsonova L.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Form & Matchup

2.6Grass Elo 1552

Surface ELO

7.4+195 Grass Elo edge

4.2Overall Elo 1620

ELO gap

5.8Overall Elo 1805

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

2.53 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.27 of last 10 on grass

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

6.7Home country · 12/27 here

Country comfort

Surface transition

3.0Clay → Grass

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Dart H.

5662

Samsonova L.

7431