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Polina Kudermetova vs Janice Tjen — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouR32HardTue 27 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kudermetova P.6.0/10
Even match
Tjen J.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+38 Hard Elo edgeSupports Tjen J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1727Against the prediction · Kudermetova P.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 824
Hard ELO1 703
Last 105–5
Age23
Height172 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $426K
ELO1 819
Hard ELO1 749
Last 104–6
Age24
Height171 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.6M2026 $1.2M

Polina Kudermetova faces Janice Tjen in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou round of 32 on hard. Janice Tjen holds the paper edge — ranked #46, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

6 shared · last 12 months

Kudermetova P. and Tjen J. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Kudermetova P. went 3–5 (38%) against them, Tjen J. 6–5 (55%). Tjen J. came out better against 3 of 6 comparable opponents, Kudermetova P. against 0.

3–538%Kudermetova P. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents6–555%Tjen J. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
6–12Sets12–11
71–93Games108–117
0–0Tiebreaks5–2
2–0Deciding sets1–0
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kudermetova P.Tjen J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate63% (40–23) (ahead)36% (16–29)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1824 (ahead)1819
Hard-court ELO17031749 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 62 vs 44 matches
1st-serve points won66%67% (ahead)
Return points won45% (ahead)39%
Aces / match3.14.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 62 vs 44 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast28°C · Clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity47%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kudermetova P.Tjen J.
3Days since last match6 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
44Games · 7 days20 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days4
63 — fresherGames · 14 days77
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Polina Kudermetova vs Janice Tjen — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-27/kudermetova-vs-tjen-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 27 October 2026).