Jasmine Paolini vs Nikola Bartunkova — Wuhan Round of 32
Why
Surface+153 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Paolini J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1905Against the prediction · Paolini J.
This eventReached the semis here last yearAgainst the prediction · Paolini J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Paolini J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO2 010
Hard ELO1 867
Last 106–4
Age30
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $16.6M2026 $2.3M
ELO1 973
Hard ELO1 819
Last 107–3
Age20
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.8M2026 $1.6M
Jasmine Paolini faces Nikola Bartunkova in the Wuhan round of 32 on hard. Nikola Bartunkova brings the better recent hard form (5 of 7).
Key context
- Freshness: Jasmine Paolini comes in with 1 days of rest and 49 games in 14d, vs Nikola Bartunkova's 3 and 91.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Nikola Bartunkova grades 44 on serve, Jasmine Paolini 43 on return.
- Stage: Jasmine Paolini defends last year's semi-final.
Common opponents
9 shared · last 12 monthsPaolini J. and Bartunkova N. faced 9 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Paolini J. went 3–6 (33%) against them, Bartunkova N. 5–7 (42%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 3 better-results split).
3–633%Paolini J. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents5–742%Bartunkova N. · better vs 3
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
7–14Sets13–15
86–105Games123–127
0–2Tiebreaks0–2
2–1Deciding sets2–2
vs Svitolina E.#6L2-6 2-6Billie Jean King Cup · hardL2-6 3-6Rome · clay
vs Bencic B.#12L4-6 3-6United Cup · hardW6-3 0-6 6-4Australian Open · hard
vs Mertens E.#14L6-4 6-7 3-6Rome · clayW6-1 6-4Berlin · grass
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vs Cirstea S.#16L3-6 3-6US Open · hardL6-7(5) 3-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Potapova A.#26W6-7(5) 6-2 6-3Indian Wells · hardL6-4 4-6 2-6Rome · clay
vs Frech M.#56W6-2 6-3Australian Open · hardW6-2 6-2Beijing · hard
vs Maria T.#71L4-6 3-6Eastbourne · grassW6-7(5) 6-2 6-3US Open · hard
vs Townsend T.#89W6-3 1-6 6-2Miami · hardL1-6 4-6Austin · hard
vs Sabalenka A.#2Hard to compareL3-6 1-6Riyadh Finals · hardL6-2 4-6Berlin · grass
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Paolini J.Bartunkova N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate56% (20–16)66% (40–21) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2010 (ahead)1973
Hard-court ELO1867 (ahead)1819
Serve vs returnLast 32 vs 56 matches
1st-serve points won61%69% (ahead)
Return points won45% (ahead)43%
Aces / match1.74.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 32 vs 56 matches
Break points saved60% (ahead)56%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Jasmine Paolini vs Nikola Bartunkova — Wuhan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/bartunkova-vs-paolini-wuhan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).