Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila Samsonova — Wuhan Round of 64

WuhanR64HardMon 12 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Samsonova L.
42%58%

Samsonova L. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Siniakova K.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Samsonova L.6.1/10
Even match
Why
Surface+84 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Siniakova K.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1846Against the prediction · Siniakova K.
Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on hardInformative
This eventReached the quarters here last yearAgainst the prediction · Siniakova K.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Siniakova K.
ELO1 904
Hard ELO1 769
Last 104–6
Age30
Height174 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $18.1M2026 $3.1M
ELO1 927
Hard ELO1 785
Last 105–5
Age27
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.3M2026 $1.4M

Katerina Siniakova faces Liudmila Samsonova in the Wuhan round of 64 on hard. Liudmila Samsonova holds the paper edge — ranked #39, defending last year's round of 16. They have met 4 times, the series level at 2–2, Liudmila Samsonova ahead 1–0 on hard.

Key context

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Siniakova K. and Samsonova L. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Siniakova K. went 2–6 (25%) against them, Samsonova L. 3–5 (38%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 2 better-results split).

2–625%Siniakova K. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents3–538%Samsonova L. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
6–12Sets9–12
70–93Games101–105
1–0Tiebreaks0–2
2–2Deciding sets2–3
Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

4 meetings · level 2–2
22

Grass: Siniakova K. leads 2–1 · Hard: Samsonova L. leads 1–0

Evidence

Siniakova K.Samsonova L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate47% (17–19) (ahead)45% (20–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19041927 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17691785 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 32 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won62%66% (ahead)
Return points won44% (ahead)42%
Aces / match1.83.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 32 vs 39 matches
Break points saved59% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium
Forecast25°C · Clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity62%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Siniakova K.Samsonova L.
8 — fresherDays since last match7
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days28
2Matches · 14 days2
44 — fresherGames · 14 days54
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila Samsonova — Wuhan Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/samsonova-vs-siniakova-wuhan-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).