Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison Keys — Washington Round of 32
USA6
Samsonova L.
Liudmila Samsonova defeated Madison Keys in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, winning 3-6, 6-4, 6-4. Samsonova hit 5 aces and 14 double faults, while Keys hit 10 aces and 7 double faults. Both players converted 3 service breaks, with Samsonova winning 80% of her first-serve points and Keys converting 50% of her break points.
Key context
- Match story: Liudmila Samsonova dropped the opening set before beating Madison Keys 3–6 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
1–5| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-06 | Adelaide | SF | hard | Madison Keys | 5-7 7-5 3-0 |
| 2024-05-20 | Strasbourg | SF | clay | Madison Keys | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid | R32 | clay | Madison Keys | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2023-08-28 | US Open | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 5-7 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-01-10 | Adelaide 2 | QF | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2021-06-14 | Berlin | QF | grass | Liudmila Samsonova | 7-6 2-6 7-6 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Keys M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadSamsonova L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 107 games (7d) · Keys M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About