Xiyu Wang vs Liudmila SamsonovaWashington Round of 16

Washington · WTA · Round of 16
#42WTA
1772ELO
1724Hard ELO
25 yrs · 182 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWWWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#70WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWLLLL
Wang X.
vs
Samsonova L.

Xiyu Wang faces Liudmila Samsonova in the Washington round of 16 on hard. Xiyu Wang is the paper favourite — ranked #42 — but Liudmila Samsonova has won their only previous meeting.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Wang X.52%
Samsonova L.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
9 common opponents · Wang X. 5–5 · Samsonova L. 4–6
Samsonova L. better · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+0 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1723
5.0Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1775
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
54%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.4
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Wang X.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Samsonova L.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Wang X.

Serve advantage — Wang X.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
56
Break points saved·Dominant
28
67
Break points won·Dominant
19
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
8
54
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
5
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Samsonova L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 72%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-01WashingtonSFhardLiudmila Samsonova6-1 6-1

Draw