Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari — Cincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
Kamilla Rakhimova
UZB
Kamilla Rakhimova
#83WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
Maria Sakkari
GRE29
Maria Sakkari
#32WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$15MCAREER
31 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Rakhimova K.
2-6 7-5 1-6
Sakkari M.
Rakhimova K.
2711
Sakkari M.
6562

Maria Sakkari defeated Kamilla Rakhimova in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-2, 5-7, 6-1 on hard courts. Sakkari served 6 aces to Rakhimova's 2 and won 8 service breaks to 5. Sakkari converted 42% of break points, as did Rakhimova.

Around the match

  • Sakkari rebuilding confidence after injuries and poor form, seeking consecutive match wins at Cincinnati for first time since 2020.

    Sakkari M.Last Word On Sports ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Maria Sakkari came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–2 5–7 6–1.

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-02WimbledonR64grassMaria Sakkari3-6 6-0 6-7
2025-08-07CincinnatiR128hardMaria Sakkari6-3 3-6 6-2
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR64clayMaria Sakkari7-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
Rakhimova K.Sakkari M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rakhimova K.Sakkari M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
79
Break points saved·Dominant
7
78
Break points won·Clear edge
77
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
75
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Rakhimova K.41%
Sakkari M.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sakkari M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rakhimova K.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Sakkari M.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1671
Surface ELO
6.6+125 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1693
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1812
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rakhimova K.Sakkari M.
Freshness·Slight edge
82
71

Rakhimova K.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Sakkari M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw