Talia Gibson vs Tatjana MariaMemphis Round of 32

Memphis · WTA · Round of 32
#74WTA
1737ELO
1764Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#80WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
39 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
Gibson T.
0-6 3-6
Maria T.
Gibson T.
030
Maria T.
662

Tatjana Maria defeated Talia Gibson in the Round of 32 of the Memphis tournament on hard courts, winning 6-0, 6-3. Maria hit 10 aces and committed 2 double faults, while converting 56% of her break points and winning 82% of her first-serve points. Gibson did not convert any of her break points and was broken 5 times.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-09HobartR32hardTatjana Maria6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
74
2
Break points saved·Dominant
83
4
Break points won·Even
70
70
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
3
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Gibson T.79%
Maria T.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gibson T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+156 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1608
5.4Overall Elo 1737
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1702
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.28 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.71 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.0Won 67% in Usa (21)
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
84

Gibson T.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Maria T.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw