Tatjana Maria vs Renata Zarazua — Memphis Round of 16
Maria T.
Tatjana Maria faces Renata Zarazua in the Memphis round of 16 on hard. Renata Zarazua is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage — but Tatjana Maria rides a 7-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Zarazua R. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Renata Zarazua dropped just 5 games past Mccartney Kessler.
- Last match: Tatjana Maria handed Talia Gibson a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–3 win.
- Win streak: Tatjana Maria arrives on a 7-match winning run.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMaria T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Zarazua R.: played today · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-20 | W80 Macon | R32 | hard | Renata Zarazua | 6-2 6-0 |