Anastasia Zakharova vs Renata Zarazua — Memphis Quarter-final

Memphis · WTA · Quarter-final
Anastasia Zakharova
RUS
Anastasia Zakharova
#101WTA
1742ELO
1714Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLLWW
—
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
Renata Zarazua
MEX
Renata Zarazua
#83WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLLLL
Zakharova A.
vs
Zarazua R.

Anastasia Zakharova faces Renata Zarazua in the Memphis quarter-final on hard. Renata Zarazua holds the paper edge — ranked #83. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Zakharova A.65%
Zarazua R.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zakharova A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
4 common opponents · Zakharova A. 2–2 · Zarazua R. 3–2 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Grass)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zakharova A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Zarazua R.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+75 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1639
6.0Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1663
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.04 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.3Won 72% in Usa (175)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

38 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season
Zakharova A.Zarazua R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
75%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
0.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zakharova A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zarazua R.

Zarazua R.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Zakharova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Zakharova A.Zarazua R.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
9
Break points saved·Dominant
47
5
Break points won·Even
87
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
67
16
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Zakharova A.Zarazua R.
Freshness·Even
83
87

Zakharova A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Zarazua R.: played today · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw