Darja Vidmanova vs Renata Zarazua — Memphis Semi-final

Memphis · WTA · Semi-final
CZE
Darja Vidmanova
#114WTA
1675ELO
1665Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLWWLW
—
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 2nd on
Renata Zarazua
MEX
Renata Zarazua
#83WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWLLL
Vidmanova D.
vs
Zarazua R.

Darja Vidmanova faces Renata Zarazua in the Memphis semi-final on hard. Renata Zarazua holds the paper edge — ranked #83. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Vidmanova D.58%
Zarazua R.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Vidmanova D. 3–0 · Zarazua R. 4–0 · small sample
Both won · same surface▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vidmanova D.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Zarazua R.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1639
5.1Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1663
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.78 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
6.8Won 80% in Usa (49)
Country comfort
6.3Won 72% in Usa (176)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

43 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season
Vidmanova D.Zarazua R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
75%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.8
0.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vidmanova D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zarazua R.

Zarazua R.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Vidmanova D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Vidmanova D.Zarazua R.
Freshness·Clear edge
57
74

Vidmanova D.: played today · 3 matches, 75 games (7d) · Zarazua R.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°CMainly clear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw