Tatjana Maria vs Renata ZarazuaMemphis Round of 16

Memphis · WTA · Round of 16
#80WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
39 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 4th on
#73WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWL
Maria T.
4-6 4-6
Zarazua R.
Maria T.
440
Zarazua R.
662

Renata Zarazua defeated Tatjana Maria 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Memphis tournament. Zarazua did not hit an ace but converted 50% of her break points, while Maria hit five aces and converted 67% of her break points. Zarazua won the match with four service breaks to Maria's two.

Key context

  • Match story: Renata Zarazua edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-10-20W80 MaconR32hardRenata Zarazua6-2 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
74%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
0.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
2
14
Break points saved·Slight edge
4
9
Break points won·Slight edge
70
79
Deciding sets·Clear edge
3
24
Tiebreaks·Even
10
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Maria T.45%
Zarazua R.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1608
Surface ELO
5.4+30 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1702
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1663
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
2.12 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.93 of last 10 on hard
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.1Won 68% in Usa (22)
Country comfort
6.3Won 72% in Usa (174)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
80

Maria T.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Zarazua R.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw