Tatjana Maria vs Anastasia ZakharovaEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 16
#79WTA
1703ELO
1688Grass ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#101WTA
1742ELO
1632Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWLW
Maria T.
6-2 6-1
Zakharova A.
Maria T.
662
Zakharova A.
210

Tatjana Maria defeated Anastasia Zakharova 6-2, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at Eastbourne. Maria hit 5 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Zakharova had 1 double fault. Maria won 82% of her first-serve points and converted 43% of her break points, breaking Zakharova's serve 3 times.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
0.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 46). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
2
55
Break points saved·Dominant
4
47
Break points won·Clear edge
70
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
67
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Maria T.31%
Zakharova A.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zakharova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+83 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1518
4.5Overall Elo 1571
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1611
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
91

Maria T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Zakharova A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw