Tatjana Maria vs Anastasia Zakharova — Eastbourne Round of 16
Maria T.
Tatjana Maria faces Anastasia Zakharova in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. Anastasia Zakharova holds the paper edge — ranked #91. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Zakharova A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Anastasia Zakharova has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 53 vs Tatjana Maria's 13).
- Fatigue load: Anastasia Zakharova carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Win streak: Anastasia Zakharova arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMaria T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Zakharova A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.