Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia ZakharovaEastbourne Round of 32

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 32
#59WTA
1777ELO
1602Grass ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
#90WTA
1743ELO
1637Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLLWWLW
Starodubtseva Y.
vs
Zakharova A.

Yuliia Starodubtseva faces Anastasia Zakharova in the Eastbourne round of 32 on grass. Yuliia Starodubtseva holds the paper edge — ranked #59.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Starodubtseva Y.40%
Zakharova A.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zakharova A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1602
Surface ELO
5.4+34 Grass Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1777
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1743
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.86 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

33 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Starodubtseva Y.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Zakharova A.

Zakharova A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Serve advantage — Starodubtseva Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
48
Break points saved·Dominant
89
47
Break points won·Slight edge
95
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
56
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
69
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
74
70

Starodubtseva Y.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 68 games (7d) · Zakharova A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.