Max Alcala Gurri vs Franco Roncadelli — Cordenons Quarter-final
Alcala Gurri M.
Max Alcala Gurri faces Franco Roncadelli in the Cordenons quarter-final on clay. Max Alcala Gurri holds the paper edge — ranked #229, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Alcala Gurri M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Max Alcala Gurri dropped just 6 games past Lorenzo Angelini.
- Fatigue load: Franco Roncadelli carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Max Alcala Gurri 6 of 9, Franco Roncadelli 4 of 9 on clay recently — Max Alcala Gurri the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadAlcala Gurri M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d) · Roncadelli F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.