Gonzalo Villanueva vs Michele Ribecai — Cordenons Round of 32
Villanueva G.
Gonzalo Villanueva faces Michele Ribecai in the Cordenons round of 32 on clay. Michele Ribecai is the paper favourite — ranked #265 — but Gonzalo Villanueva arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on clay to Michele Ribecai's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Ribecai M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Gonzalo Villanueva 108 games in 14 days, Michele Ribecai 73.
- Last match: Gonzalo Villanueva handed Giammarco Gandolfi a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–3 win.
- Surface form: Gonzalo Villanueva 8 of 10, Michele Ribecai 4 of 10 on clay recently — Gonzalo Villanueva the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadVillanueva G.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Ribecai M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on SERENA WINES 1881 (12) · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Nagal S. v Cretu C.
- 2Villanueva G. v Ribecai M.This match
- 3Roncadelli F. v Giustino L.
- 4Makk P. v Seyboth Wild T.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.