Maxim Mrva vs Franco Roncadelli — Cordenons Round of 16
Mrva M.
Maxim Mrva faces Franco Roncadelli in the Cordenons round of 16 on clay. Franco Roncadelli holds the paper edge — ranked #238, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Maxim Mrva 53 games in 14 days, Franco Roncadelli 37.
- Form trend: Maxim Mrva's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Franco Roncadelli's has cooled.
- Last match: Maxim Mrva dropped the opening set before beating Carlo Alberto Caniato 3–6 7–6 6–4.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMrva M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Roncadelli F.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.