Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondioli — Cordenons Round of 32
Guillen Meza A.
Alvaro Guillen Meza faces Federico Bondioli in the Cordenons round of 32 on clay. Alvaro Guillen Meza is the paper favourite — ranked #276, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage — but Federico Bondioli arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 9 on clay to Alvaro Guillen Meza's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Alvaro Guillen Meza 54 games in 14 days, Federico Bondioli 104.
- Surface form: Alvaro Guillen Meza 2 of 9, Federico Bondioli 4 of 9 on clay recently — Federico Bondioli the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadGuillen Meza A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Bondioli F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.