Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Giustino — Cordenons Round of 32
Roncadelli F.
Franco Roncadelli faces Lorenzo Giustino in the Cordenons round of 32 on clay. Lorenzo Giustino holds the paper edge — ranked #196.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Roncadelli F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Franco Roncadelli 65 games in 14 days, Lorenzo Giustino 216.
- Under pressure: Franco Roncadelli has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 41 vs Lorenzo Giustino's 2).
- Surface form: Franco Roncadelli 3 of 9, Lorenzo Giustino 7 of 9 on clay recently — Lorenzo Giustino the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadRoncadelli F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Giustino L.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
3rd on SERENA WINES 1881 (12) · not before Followed By · 2 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Nagal S. v Cretu C.
- 2Villanueva G. v Ribecai M.
- 3Roncadelli F. v Giustino L.This match
- 4Makk P. v Seyboth Wild T.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.