Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stricker — Gstaad Round of 16
Shevchenko A.
Alexander Shevchenko faces Dominic Stricker in the Gstaad round of 16 on clay. Alexander Shevchenko holds the paper edge — defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Shevchenko A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Alexander Shevchenko 0 games in 14 days, Dominic Stricker 24.
- Last match: Alexander Shevchenko dropped the opening set before beating Alexandre Muller 3–6 6–3 6–4.
- Last match: Dominic Stricker dropped just 6 games past Jaume Munar.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on clay
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadShevchenko A.: 15 days rest · Stricker D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.