Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov — Gstaad Round of 32
Collignon R.
Raphael Collignon faces Timofey Skatov in the Gstaad round of 32 on clay. Raphael Collignon holds the paper edge — ranked #43, a roughly 280-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Collignon R. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Raphael Collignon 28 games in 14 days, Timofey Skatov 39.
- Under pressure: Raphael Collignon has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 73 vs Timofey Skatov's 31).
- Last match: Timofey Skatov dropped just 6 games past Vitaliy Sachko.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadCollignon R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Skatov T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.