Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement Tabur — Gstaad Round of 16
Rinderknech A.Arthur Rinderknech faces Clement Tabur in the Gstaad round of 16 on clay. Arthur Rinderknech is the paper favourite — ranked #28, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage — but Clement Tabur rides a 3-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Rinderknech A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Arthur Rinderknech comes in with 10 days of rest and 122 games in 14d, vs Clement Tabur's 1 and 68.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Arthur Rinderknech has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 58 vs 30).
- Last match: Clement Tabur dropped the opening set before beating Jurij Rodionov 4–6 7–5 6–4.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on clay
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadRinderknech A.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tabur C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.