Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir KecmanovicGstaad Round of 32

Gstaad · ATP · Round of 32
#288ATP
1618ELO
1599Clay ELO
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWWWW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#50ATP
1768ELO
1733Clay ELO
$756kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLWWWW
Feldbausch K.
vs
Kecmanovic M.

Kilian Feldbausch faces Miomir Kecmanovic in the Gstaad round of 32 on clay. Miomir Kecmanovic holds the paper edge — ranked #50, a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Feldbausch K.30%
Kecmanovic M.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kecmanovic M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Kilian Feldbausch comes in with 6 days of rest and 90 games in 14d, vs Miomir Kecmanovic's 12 and 49.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Miomir Kecmanovic has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 66 vs 44).
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 5 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1599
Surface ELO
6.7+134 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1618
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1768
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.59 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
62%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
62%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.9
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Feldbausch K.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Kecmanovic M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Feldbausch K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
44
66
Break points saved·Dominant
27
98
Break points won·Even
64
67
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
56
Tiebreaks·
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
94

Feldbausch K.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Kecmanovic M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 37%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final