Claire Liu vs Ipek OzIasi Qualifying Final

Iasi · WTA · Qualifying Final
#111WTA
1669ELO
1623Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 6 · 1st on
TURLL
#424WTA
1378ELO
1363Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWLW
Liu C.
6-4 6-1
Oz I.
Liu C.
662
Oz I.
410

Claire Liu won five games in a row to see off Ipek Oz 6-4 6-1 in the Iasi qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 2: Claire Liu broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Claire Liu converted 4 of 4 break points; Ipek Oz converted 1 of 2 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Liu C.
Oz I.
Break points won
4/4
1/2
Break points saved
1/2
0/4

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Liu C.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Oz I.

Oz I.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Liu C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
4
Break points saved·Clear edge
64
44
Break points won·Even
78
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
79
1
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC
Liu C.82%
Oz I.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Liu C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.2+260 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Clay Elo 1363
8.2Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1378
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
90

Liu C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Oz I.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%