Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Lisa ZaarIasi Qualifying Semi-final

Iasi · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#457WTA
1402ELO
1391Clay ELO
26 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLWWLL
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 6 · 1st on
#295WTA
1527ELO
1499Clay ELO
26 yrs
Last 10
LLLLWWWLWW
Kulambayeva Z.
vs
Zaar L.

Zhibek Kulambayeva faces Lisa Zaar in the Iasi qualifying semi-final on clay. Lisa Zaar holds the paper edge — ranked #295, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Kulambayeva Z.33%
Zaar L.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zaar L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Zhibek Kulambayeva 3 of 10, Lisa Zaar 5 of 10 on clay recently — Lisa Zaar the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Lisa Zaar carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1391
Surface ELO
6.4+108 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1402
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1527
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.53 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Zaar L.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

17 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
79%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
40%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Even
51%
53%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
0.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kulambayeva Z.serving43% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Zaar L.

Zaar L.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Kulambayeva Z.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Zaar L.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on COURT 6 · not before Starting at 10:00 AM · up next on court

  1. 1Kulambayeva Z. v Zaar L.This match
  2. 2Pridankina E. v Ionescu E.
  3. 3Avanesyan E. v Seibold E.
  4. 4Okalova M. v Oz I.
  5. 5Kozyreva M. v Ibragimova A.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.