Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Zhibek KulambayevaIasi Qualifying Final

Iasi · WTA · Qualifying Final
#146WTA
1616ELO
1583Clay ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#464WTA
1402ELO
1391Clay ELO
26 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLWWL
Romero Gormaz L.
6-1 6-4
Kulambayeva Z.
Romero Gormaz L.
662
Kulambayeva Z.
140

Leyre Romero Gormaz cruised past Zhibek Kulambayeva, conceding only five games, in the Iasi qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 1: Leyre Romero Gormaz broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 8: A 21-point game with eight deuces went Zhibek Kulambayeva's way.
  • Set 2, game 8: Zhibek Kulambayeva saved four break points to hold serve.
  • Pressure points: Leyre Romero Gormaz converted 7 of 12 break points; Zhibek Kulambayeva converted 3 of 9 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Romero Gormaz L.
Kulambayeva Z.
Break points won
7/12
3/9
Break points saved
6/9
5/12

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Romero Gormaz L.serving46% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Kulambayeva Z.

Kulambayeva Z.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Romero Gormaz L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
51%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC
Romero Gormaz L.79%
Kulambayeva Z.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Romero Gormaz L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.4+192 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1391
6.8Overall Elo 1616
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1402
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
86

Romero Gormaz L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 72 games (7d) · Kulambayeva Z.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%