Maria Kozyreva vs Alevtina IbragimovaIasi Qualifying Semi-final

Iasi · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
1285ELO
1250Clay ELO
27 yrs
Last 10
LLLLLLLLWW
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 6 · 5th on
#271WTA
1508ELO
1472Clay ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWLWLW
Kozyreva M.
vs
Ibragimova A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Kozyreva M.18%
Ibragimova A.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ibragimova A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1250
Surface ELO
7.8+222 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1285
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1508
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.33 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Kozyreva M.Not enough recent matches

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

1 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
52%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.0
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kozyreva M.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Ibragimova A.

Ibragimova A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kozyreva M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

When it starts

5th on COURT 6 · not before Followed by · 4 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Kulambayeva Z. v Zaar L.
  2. 2Pridankina E. v Ionescu E.
  3. 3Avanesyan E. v Seibold E.
  4. 4Okalova M. v Oz I.
  5. 5Kozyreva M. v Ibragimova A.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.