Martina Okalova vs Ipek OzIasi Qualifying Semi-final

Iasi · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#495WTA
1284ELO
1231Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm
Last 10
LWLWLLLLLW
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 6 · 4th on
#370WTA
1378ELO
1363Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm
Last 10
LWWWLWWLWW
Okalova M.
vs
Oz I.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Okalova M.25%
Oz I.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Oz I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1230
Surface ELO
6.7+133 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1284
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1378
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.33 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Okalova M.Risingearly
Oz I.Surging

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

11 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
55%
59%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
36%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
49%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
45%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.3
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.5
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Okalova M.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Oz I.

Oz I.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Okalova M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

When it starts

4th on COURT 6 · not before Followed by · 3 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Kulambayeva Z. v Zaar L.
  2. 2Pridankina E. v Ionescu E.
  3. 3Avanesyan E. v Seibold E.
  4. 4Okalova M. v Oz I.This match
  5. 5Kozyreva M. v Ibragimova A.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.