Caroline Uebelhoer vs Ilinca Dalina AmarieiIasi Qualifying Semi-final

Iasi · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
1432ELO
1415Clay ELO
30 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLWWWWL
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
1308ELO
1297Clay ELO
23 yrs
Last 10
LLLWWLWLWL
Uebelhoer C.
vs
Amariei I.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Uebelhoer C.64%
Amariei I.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Uebelhoer C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+118 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1296
6.0Overall Elo 1432
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1308
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Amariei I.Not enough recent matches

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
78%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
41%
Service points won·Even
55%
53%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
38%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
0.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Uebelhoer C.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Amariei I.

Amariei I.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Uebelhoer C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Uebelhoer C.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.