Greet Minnen vs Madison Brengle — Newport Quarter-final
Minnen G.
Greet Minnen faces Madison Brengle in the Newport quarter-final on grass. Greet Minnen holds the paper edge — ranked #205, a roughly 190-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Minnen G. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Greet Minnen comes in with 15 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Madison Brengle's 1 and 21.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Greet Minnen has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 77 vs 7).
- Last match: Madison Brengle dropped just 4 games past Kayla Cross.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMinnen G.: 15 days rest · Brengle M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.