Katie Volynets vs Elizabeth Mandlik — Newport Quarter-final
Volynets K.Katie Volynets faces Elizabeth Mandlik in the Newport quarter-final on grass. Katie Volynets holds the paper edge — ranked #101, a roughly 130-point grass Elo advantage. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Volynets K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Katie Volynets has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 65 vs 30).
- Freshness: Katie Volynets comes in with 1 days of rest and 42 games in 14d, vs Elizabeth Mandlik's 1 and 17.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 6 on grass recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadVolynets K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Mandlik E.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.