Madison Brengle vs Kayla Cross — Newport Round of 16

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Madison Brengle
USA
Madison Brengle
#223WTA
1575ELO
1489Grass ELO
36 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWWLW
—
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
grass
CAN
Kayla Cross
#197WTA
1432ELO
1318Grass ELO
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLLLWW
Brengle M.
vs
Cross K.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC
Brengle M.85%
Cross K.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Brengle M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Brengle M.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Cross K.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.1+172 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Grass Elo 1318
6.3Overall Elo 1575
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1432
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.94 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Brengle M.Surging
Cross K.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

37 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season
Brengle M.Cross K.
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Even
52%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
43%
Break points saved·Even
50%
48%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.3
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brengle M.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Cross K.

Cross K.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Brengle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Brengle M.Cross K.
Freshness·
—
100

Cross K.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.