Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi — Bogota Round of 16
Casanova H.Hernan Casanova faces Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi in the Bogota round of 16 on clay. Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi holds the paper edge — ranked #320. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Hernan Casanova comes in with 2 days of rest and 137 games in 14d, vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi's 15 and 0.
- Last match: Hernan Casanova edged Ignacio Monzon in two tight sets (7–5 7–5).
- Last match: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi edged Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadCasanova H.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 109 games (7d) · Ambrogi L.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.