Andrew Fenty vs Karl PolingCary Qualifying Semi-final

Cary · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#400ATP
1199ELO
1183Hard ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 28 June 2026 ·
hard
COURT 15 COURT 13 COURT 10 · 1st on
#506ATP
1314ELO
1320Hard ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Fenty A.
6-3 6-3
Poling K.
Fenty A.
662
Poling K.
330

Andrew Fenty cruised past Karl Poling, conceding only six games, in the Cary qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 5: Andrew Fenty broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 4: Andrew Fenty broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Andrew Fenty converted 3 of 9 break points; Karl Poling converted 0 of 1 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Fenty A.
Poling K.
Break points won
3/9
0/1
Break points saved
1/1
6/9

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fenty A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Poling K.

Poling K.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Fenty A.

Serve advantage — Poling K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:21 UTC
Fenty A.17%
Poling K.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Poling K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1183
Surface ELO
6.7+138 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1199
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1314
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.98 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
88

Fenty A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Poling K.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 79%