Yuta Shimizu vs Trevor Svajda — Cary Qualifying Final

Cary · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final

JPNQ

Yuta Shimizu

#356ATP

1447ELO

1417Hard ELO

27 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWLWWLLW

2 — 0

Sets

Monday, 29 June 2026 · 11:50

hard

STADIUM · 2nd on

USA

Trevor Svajda

#466ATP

1485ELO

1451Hard ELO

20 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLLLLLLWWL

Shimizu Y.

6-4 7-6

Svajda T.

Shimizu Y.

67⁷2

Svajda T.

46²0

Yuta Shimizu broke serve in the first set to take control and defeat Trevor Svajda 6-4 7-6 in the Cary qualifying final.

Key context

Pressure points: Yuta Shimizu converted 1 of 4 break points; Trevor Svajda converted 0 of 3 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Shimizu Y.

Svajda T.

Break points won

1/4

0/3

Break points saved

3/3

3/4

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Shimizu Y.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Svajda T.

Svajda T.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Shimizu Y.

Serve advantage — Shimizu Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Shimizu Y.Svajda T.

1st serve in·Slight edge

63%

56%

1st serve points won·Even

69%

67%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

52%

47%

Service points won·Even

62%

58%

Return points won·Even

38%

37%

Break points saved·Even

60%

59%

Aces / match·Clear edge

4.8

3.1

Double faults / match·Even

2.4

2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC

Shimizu Y.41%

Svajda T.59%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Svajda T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Shimizu Y.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Svajda T.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.6Hard Elo 1417

Surface ELO

5.4+33 Hard Elo edge

4.5Overall Elo 1447

ELO gap

5.5Overall Elo 1485

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.46 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

2.93 of last 10 on hard

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.